Central Michigan at Buffalo

The Central Michigan Chippewas let one go last week, falling to Ball State at home as a double-digit favorite. The loss dropped them to 4-4 on the season, and this team is starting to look physically tired, as they are not a very deep team. Central Michigan will be playing for the 9th straight week, and if they couldn't get energized at home, they will struggle here. The fact is, this team will play 12 straight games without a bye. Buffalo lost a lot from a year ago on both sides of the ball, and they have slowly gotten better as the season has progressed and needs a win to get to .500 on the season, and since an expected blowout loss to Baylor, they have now covered 3 of their last 4. Central Michigan owns a 9-23-1 ATS mark in their last 33 following a spread loss, while the Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 inside the conference. Make the play on Buffalo.