Central Florida at Tulane

The Central Florida defense, which allowed no more than 17 points to any non-BCS Conference team early on, has now started to break down. The Knights’ defense has been torched for 30+ in each of their last three games, allowing 33 per contest. The Green Wave was limited to 24 points or less in their first five games vs. FBS teams, but has suddenly come to lif, averaging 34 points per game in their last four. I don't think they will get 34 here, but this team has found enough offense to stay within the lofty number posted here, especially at home. The Knights are an unimpressive 3-9 ATS on the road in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing home record. The Green Wave has buckled down after allowing 40+ in their last game, following with a 5-1 ATS mark. They are also a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last nine at home after scoring 42+ last game. I'm on Tulane plus the points.