This pick was released to clients on September 12, 2024 at 10:07AM ET.
img CFB

Central Florida at TCU

September 14, 2024
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

TCU is off to a good start as expected with 19 starters returning, including almost the entire defense. The Horned Frogs shut out FCS Long Island 45-0 after defeating Stanford 34-27 in the season opener. Josh Hoover completed 20 of 25 for 267 yards and two TDs against the Sharks as 12 different receivers caught passes for TCU led by Savion Williams with 69 yards on five receptions. TCU outgained Long Island 425-127. UCF comes off two blowout wins over New Hampshire and Sam Houston and this will obviously be the first real test for the Knights, who are 0-4 ATS their past four games as road favorites. KJ Jefferson finished 12 of 15 for 169 yards and no TDs against Sam Houston and RJ Harvey ran for 126 yards on 19 carries for UCF. TCU has gone UNDER five straight September games and it is 4-0 UNDER after allowing fewer than 275 yards its previous game. UCF has gone UNDER five of seven overall. The Horned Frogs appear to be underrated this year. Take TCU and the UNDER.

1 unit on TCU +3 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 62.5 -114 (risk 2 to return 3.75)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Central Florida Knights img
0
7
13
15
35
TCU Horned Frogs
14
7
10
3
34
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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