This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 2:59PM ET.
img CFB

California at UCLA

October 8, 2005
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This maybe the third biggest game in the PAC-10 this season and we think the wrong team is favored. This one comes down to coaching. Dorrell frankly cannot hold Tedford's jock in terms of gameday coaching. Don't get us wrong - UCLA is a very good football team, but somehwat unproven. Drew is a premier tailback, but UCLA has been turnover prone for years and we see that continuing here. The Bears haven't allowed an offensive touchdown in two and a half games. Cal likes the underdog role having gone 53-33 since 1992 as a dog. UCLA is 0-7 ATS at home after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. And, when the line is +3 to -3 teams like Cal with good offenses averaging 400+ yards/game, coming off a game in which they allowed 225 or less yards are 46-20 (70%) since 1992. Two stars on Cal.

2 units on California +1 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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