California at Oregon

The Ducks used an explosive offense to get all the way to the BCS Championship game a year ago. That offense was elite and this year's version may in fact be better. The Ducks have averaged over 60 points per game in their last three games and while you can discount a couple softies in the mix, they put up 27 points in their opener vs. a top LSU defense. They also hung a 56 on Arizona in their last game - and that was on the road. Going back to their home opener a year ago, the Ducks have now scored 479 points in their last eight home games, for an incredible 60 ppg over a year and a half! Cal is going to be in trouble here having already allowed 31 to Washington and 33 to Colorado. The Bears have had little success on the road as they bring a 7-19 ATS road mark to this game. They have also been 1-5 ATS on field turf in their last six and with head coach Jeff Tedford, this team is 0-6 ATS in expected high scoring games (total of 64+). The Ducks are rising to the occasion as big chalk at 24-11 ATS in their last 35 as a favorite of more than 10 points. My computer matchup for this game has Oregon winning this game handily. I agree. Oregon gets the win and cover here.