California at Arizona

This line is juiced off of what just happened a week ago, so the value is on Cal. Arizona beat a rugged Iowa team rather handily, while the Bears were getting pounded in Las Vegas by what many will see (before the season is over) a powerful Nevada team. Cal has put up 135 points in three games, so they are never out of reach to any opponent. The Wildcats are off to a big start, but had their problems solving Cal's defense last year as they visited Berkeley and came home with their lowest scoring output of the regular season of just 16 points. Cal gave up a ton a week ago, so I expect them to be focusing on defense with extra effort in this one. That has been the case in the past as the Bears are 14-6 ATS after allowing over 200 yards rushing in their previous game. They are also 7-3 ATS after allowing 40+ in their last game. Meanwhile, Arizona could experience a bit of a hangover following last game. They danced and hugged on the field like they had won the National Championship after upsetting Iowa. This game will be a downer in comparison. As a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points, Arizona has covered just 11 times in their last 35. The Golden Bears have covered five of the last seven in this series, and I look for them to at the very least make this one decided late.