California at Arizona

Two undefeated Pact 12 teams meet here, but these teams are far from equal. Cal opened with an impressive win against Northwestern, but we know how well the Big 10 plays against non-conference opponents. Then, the Bears got Sacrametno State at home which really tells us nothing. Arizona has also had a fairly easy schedule, but they have won their three games 58-13, 266-23 and 35-28. The defense has to be a concern, but we know they are going to score points here, as this team is averaging 47 points per game at home. I just don't think Cal on the road can keep up. Cal is coming into this one at 7-19 ATS since 2012. This line is simply off thanks to Cal finding the win column twice and Arizona playing lackluster defense in their first two games. These teams are really miles apart. Lay the points.