BYU at Boise State

I'm a bit surprised at the big total for this one. The BYU offense is in transition as they lost the main cog in QB Taysom Hill. Hill wasn't only an experienced passer, he was also the Cougars' biggest threat on the ground. Christain Stewert has passed for 1.7 yards less per attempt and has run for 2.1 yards per carry less than Hill. Overall that diminishes a BYU attack considerably. Boise State is not built the same as they have been in the past as they put up 50 points per game pretty much without a blink, but have topped off at 51 points this season and that was vs. Wyoming. They will face one of the better defenses they have seen this season, and I just don't see this one getting there. The Cougars own a 19-7 mark to the UNDER in their last 26 vs. a winning team, and the Broncos are now 6-1 to the UNDER when following a game where they generated over 450 yards of offense. Play the UNDER.