Buffalo at Connecticut

Buffalo's defense has been impressive. They've played two Top 25 teams in four games, getting routed by No. 9 Missouri but beating Northern Illinois last week, 23-20, as a +13 dog. Buffalo is on an 11-1 run UNDER the total, including 6-1 UNDER on the road. Connecticut prefers ball control with power running backs Durell Robinson (296 yards, 8.5 ypc) and Mel Brown (252 yards, 5.6 ypc). The defense is allowing 15.5 points per game at home. Take Buffalo/Connecticut UNDER the total.