Bowling Green at Toledo

Bowling Green was sailing along with a three-game win streak and then the Falcons came out and got thoroughly embarrassed in a 40-6 loss to Kent State on Wednesday. The Falcons will be in a foul mood as they take on Toledo in a revenge game as the Rockets won last year's meeting. Bowling Green quarterback Matt McDonald actually had a decent day against the Golden Flashes throwing for 246 yards on 31 of 40 passing with a TD and an interception, but the Falcons had trouble getting into the end zone. Bowling Green was a 17-point underdog against Marshall on Sept. 17 and won outright 34-31 in overtime. Toledo comes off a 28-21 win over Ball State with Dequan Finn completing 21 of 38 for 301 yards and three TDs with an interception. The Falcons are 5-1-1 ATS their past seven games versus teams with winning records and the road team is 6-2-1 ATS the past nine meetings. Bowling Green has gone UNDER four of its past five games, including the last two that have stayed UNDER by an average of 18.5 points. Toledo has gone UNDER its past two games and the Rockets are 7-3 UNDER their past 10 Tuesday games. The Falcons are 9-3 UNDER after scoring fewer than 20 points their previous game. Take Bowling Green ATS for a unit, and play a half-unit on the moneyline. Also book this game to stay UNDER.