Bowling Green at Kent State

There is no doubt that Bowling Green will be a defensive power in the MAC this season, and they might have to be as their offense is ordinary at best. Kent State likes to run the ball, and they have a tandem in the backfield that are a handful in Dri Archer and Trayon Durham who together scored 37 TDs a year ago. That was good enough last year to put 31 points up on this Bowling Green defense and win the game by a TD on the road. It was the most points Bowling Green gave up all season, including their Bowl game. The bigger problem is that the Falcons scored 24 points or less in 10 games a year ago, so playing as a sizable favorite on the road here is tricky and risky. The Falcons have struggled vs. winning teams, going 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17. They are also 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. Kent State. Kent is driven by momentum and stand in at 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 following a win. Take the points and play on Kent St.