Bowling Green at Buffalo

Buffalo has won two in a row following a 45-10 victory at Akron, and Bowling Green has lost four straight after being routed, 55-24, by Eastern Michigan. The Falcons have allowed an average of 37.8 points their last four games, and Buffalo is averaging 32.4 points on the season. Kyle Vantrease completed 15 of 20 for 241 yards and 3 touchdowns with no picks against the Zips, and Dylan McDuffie ran for 111 yards. The Bulls have won the last four games against Bowling Green, but they won't take the Falcons lightly as they did upset Minnesota earlier in the season. Buffalo is 6-1 ATS the past seven meetings, and the one it didn't cover was last year, but only because the Bulls were a 31.5-point favorite and won 42-17. Bowling Green is 3-9 ATS its past 12 conference games and 11-23 ATS following an ATS loss. Buffalo is 8-2-1 ATS its last 11 October games and 13-5 ATS as a favorite. Take Buffalo.