Boston College at Virginia Tech

The Hokies have recovered nicely since their opening game defeat to unbeaten Alabama by winning four straight. But question marks remain. This is a team that is trademarked by defense and special teams. But looking at their games, so far the defense is certainly not up to the level of past teams. They have already allowed two teams to run the ball for over 200 yards - Alabama 268 and Nebraska 207. Additionally, lowly Marshall had success running the ball on them gaining 4.5 yards per carry with 126 yards on 28 carries. Then last week Duke penetrated their secondary for 359 yards. That's not what we are used to seeing from Beamer teams. Boston College isn't a great offensive team, but they can run the ball which is what has not gone well for the Hokies. This line is puzzling as well, as Marshall was a 19-point dog here, and now BC is 13.5. So on a neutral field the oddsmakers are saying BC is a 5.5 favorite? I'm not buying it and this is a major overlay. The Eagles are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. ranked teams. They are also 29-15 ATS the past fifteen years vs. teams at .750 or above. As I noted in my Upset Alert section, I think the Eagles have a shot at a win here but at a minimum I like them to cover the large number.