This pick was released to clients on December 28, 2014 at 6:42PM ET.
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Boise State vs. Arizona

December 31, 2014
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Fiesta Bowl is indoors in Arizona and a pair of powerhouse offenses clash, so don't look for much defense. Boise State has exceptional balance with 39.8 points, 278 yards passing, and 217.8 yards rushing per contest. That passing game ranks 26th while the ground game is 30th. RB Jay Ajayi has 1,689 yards rushing and 25 TDs, 5.2 yards per catch. Boise State is on a 7-1 run OVER the total including 4-0 OVER against an opponent with a winning record. Boise State failed to cover the last game in a win over Fresno, and the OVER is 18-6 when the Broncos fail to cover their previous game. They face a fast Arizona team that averages 34.8 points. Arizona head coach Rich Rodriguez recruits speed and has a slew of offensive weapons with RB Nick Wilson (5.9 yards per carry) and freshman QB Anu Solomon (27 TDs, 7 INTs). Arizona's suspect run defense is a cause for concern in this game, and they are 5-2 OVER the total against the Mountain West Conference. Arizona had trouble the last game on defense giving up 51 points to Oregon, and the OVER is 13-6 following a loss. Boise State's defense faced only one Top 20 team and allowed 35 points and 458 yards in a loss to Ole Miss. Take the OVER in this one.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 67.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Boise State Broncos img
21
10
7
0
38
Arizona Wildcats
7
10
10
3
30
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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