Boise State at Utah State

Boise State has a strong defensive team, ranked #38 in the nation in points allowed, giving up 7, 14 and 14 points the last three games (all UNDER). It's a conservative, ball-control offense that leans on the strength of the defense and special teams. The Boise offense is #112 in the nation in total yards. QB Montell Cozart rushed for two touchdowns and threw for another to help Boise State beat Wyoming 24-14 Saturday night. Utah State quarterbacks have combined for 12 TDs, 11 picks, while the top three rushers average just 4.2, 4.1 and 3.5 yards per carry. Utah State is 18-8 UNDER the total after getting 280+ yards passing in their previous game. The Broncos won 21-10 last year in a defensive game and this total is too high. Play the UNDER.