Boise State at UNLV

The Broncos are again rolling, and staking a claim to be the top team in the nation. They are 7-0 straight up but they have slipped a bit compared to recent years against the number, having gone just 4-3 ATS thus far. Their defense has been great, allowing just 16 ppg, including only 14 per game in four road games. UNLV averages just 18.9 points per game so the scoring is going to be extremely tough for them here. Boise is going to have to virtually cover this number by themselves and I don't think they do it. UNLV scored 40 vs. Hawaii and 38 vs. Colorado State (one of the absolute worst teams in the country). Outside of that, they have scored 7, 16, 0, and 14. Boise State can score, but they have put up over 41 just twice all season and this team has a history of UNDERs in November, having gone 13-4 UNDER in their last 17 November games. Under Chris Peterson, the Broncos are 24-10 UNDER coming off a home game. Take the UNDER here.