Boise State at New Mexico

Boise State is 4-0 and three of its games have gone UNDER as the oddsmakers continue to post high totals even though the Broncos are allowing only 18.0 points per game. Something will have to give in this matchup as Boise State gives up an average of 72 rushing yards per game while New Mexico's offense averages 347 yards on the ground. The Broncos come off a 21-10 win over Utah State in a game that went UNDER by nearly 30 points. The Aggies were held to 71 rushing yards and were just 4-for-19 on third down efficiency. Boise State is #39 in total yards allowed and #19 in scoring defense. This is a huge revenge game for the Broncos, who were upset 31-24 as a 31-point favorite last year in a game that went UNDER by two points.  Boise outgained the Aggies, but four turnovers did them in, including three interceptions by Brett Rypien. The Broncos got a stiff test against Washington State this season and allowed only 28 points to a team that currently averages 44.3 per game in a game that went UNDER by 15 points. Once again the total is too high, so play the UNDER.