Boise State at Nevada

Nevada (3-1) has surged this season behind a terrific defense allowing 19.3 points per game (#29 in the country). On offense they have a strong ground attack (189.5 yards per game) that chews up yards and the clock. The Wolf Pack is on a 5-1 ATS run and 4-0 ATS against a team with a winning record. And that defense is why they are on a 10-1 run UNDER the total, including 5-0 UNDER at home. They held pass-happy Washington State to 13 points. They face a Boise State squad that also likes to run and has good defense. Boise State is on a 5-2 run UNDER the total, as well as 5-1 UNDER when they play on fieldturf. Boise has a new coach and is not as strong as in year's past, already with two losses, including last week at Air Force 28-14. Boise turned it over seven times and trailed 17-0 in the fourth. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. The Broncos are also 1-5 ATS in road games against a team with a winning home record. When these teams meet Nevada is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings and the UNDER is 4-0 the last four. Grab the points on Nevada and play the UNDER.