This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2012 at 12:00PM ET.
img CFB

Boise State at Louisville

December 31, 2004
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This could very well be the second best match-up of the bowl season this year. Petrino and star QB LeFors face off with Dan Hawkins and his young blossoming QB Zabransky. These two explosive offenses will light up the scoreboard throughout. Louisville, however, has one of the most complete football teams in the country and should get a win here. Boise will not go away in this one however. Boise State is undefeated this year and can hold their own in shootouts. The Broncos are 15-2 ATS versus good offensive teams (averaging >425 yards/game) since 1992. The Smurf-Turf Boys are also 16-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the same period, beating those teams by an average of 15 points per game. Do not miss this game. Both teams will methodically move the football through the air. Louisville thrives on special teams but will be facing a team that is more talented and confident than anyone they have played in some time. Petrino is now in the middle of the LSU rumor mill which will not serve the Cards well here. We side with Boise and over 79 points for two stars apiece.

2 units on Game Total OVER 79 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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