Boise State at Hawaii

There is obviously a lot at stake in this game between two 10-win teams. The outright conference Championship will be decided as well as a potential BCS berth. Boise State is no stranger to the big stage. They have a career 52-3 mark in WAC games and this team is stocked year after year. The last three weeks they have really turned it up a notch, winning by a combined 152-21 margin. Outside of their game vs. Nevada and loss to Washington, the Broncos have not been challenged. If you take out that game with Nevada they are allowing only 13.4 ppg. The big question mark for Hawaii is the status and effectiveness of QB Colt Brennan. He was forced to sit out almost the entire game last week with a concussion. Boise State has not had trouble putting away good offensive teams, as they are 18-4 ATS in their last 24 games vs. teams that average 425+ yards per game. Meanwhile Hawaii has struggled against teams that average 6.25+ yards per play as they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 vs. such opponents. Hawaii has been an escape artist this season, as they have had four near-misses, winning by margins of 1, 2, 7 and another game in OT. Boise State is 25-8 ATS the past decade vs. winning teams including 15-4 ATS vs. teams scoring 31+ ppg. They have better defense, just as much offense, and we expect they do what they do in big games - win!