img CFB

Baylor at Texas Tech

November 29, 2008
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Red Raiders were totally humiliated by the Sooners in Norman last week and it put their National Championship hopes to sleep. How will they react? What is important now is a big win here, as they dropped to 7th in the BCS Bowl standings. The Red Raiders have to be careful not to slip behind Penn State and Boise State who are hot on their heels. They would certainly like to improve upon that #7 ranking. After a 2-1 start, and a near miss on the road at Connecticut, the Bears seemed poised to move up in the Big-12 this season, but it never materialized. Although we've seen improved play, it never translated to wins as they won home games against lowly Iowa State and Texas A&M. They have played three "barometer" games on the road vs. Texas, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State and lost the three by a combined 84 points or by 28 ppg. None of those games was closer than 24 points. Texas Tech should be playing aggressive here, looking to make a statement that they really are still deserving of a top Bowl, and put Baylor away by a similar margin. The Red Raiders are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 vs. Baylor and Baylor is 30-52 ATS in their last 82 games vs. winning teams. Under Mike Leach Tech is 25-13 ATS as a home favorite. I'll back the Red Raiders here.

5 units on Texas Tech -20.5 (-110) (risk 5 to return 5)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Baylor Bears
13
8
7
0
28
Texas Tech Red Raiders
7
7
7
14
35
odds odds
 
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