Baylor at Texas A&M

Our lone big favorite play of the day is A&M. This team returned 9 offensive and 8 defensive starters from a year ago. Last year they went just 7-5 but they had the toughest schedule in the nation - bar none. Texas A&M is 12-1 straight-up and 9-4 against the number vs. Baylor. Baylor is 3-0 but they aren't anywhere close to the Aggies in terms of talent. Consider that both teams have played SMU this season. Baylor won by five points 28-23. Texas A&M won by 58 points 66-8. They Aggies have played some weak competition thus far (save Clemson) but they have put up the kind of numbers you'd like to see. They are averaging 8.5 yards per play and 45 points per game. They should be able to put up those kind of numbers again today and the Aggies are 10-1 ATS when they gain 7.5+ yards per play. Baylor, meanwhile, is 2-15 ATS when they allow 7.5+ YPP. Two stars on the blowout here.