Baylor at Oklahoma State

The oddsmakers are expecting a shootout and have set the total at 79 in this one, which is one of the highest ever in an NCAAF game. Many thought that when Dana Holgerson took his high-powered offense with him to West Virginia, the Cowboys would be less efficient on the offensive end, but that hasn't transpired. The beat goes on as they have now scored 30 points or more in 19 of their last 20 games, including all seven this season. Despite giving up a bunch of points on the defensive end, the offense is so good and explosive they have still won five of their seven games by 21 points or more. Baylor has allowed 30 or more points four times this season, and coughed up 55 to the Aggies as they scored 28 themselves. So in high-scoring games, 14 points is really not a lot. The Bears play better as a favorite, but are still not up to the level of the better teams in the Big-12. The Bears are also 0-7 ATS the past couple of seasons vs. powerhouse offensive teams like Oklahoma State (those averaging 31+ points per game). They are 12-5 ATS in their last six as a dog. The Cowboys are up to the challenge as a favorite at 46-17-2 ATS in their last 65. Under Mike Gundy, the Cowboys are 44-32 ATS including 23-9 ATS in expected shootouts (games with a total of 63+). Oklahoma State gets the money in this one.