Baylor at Iowa State

Iowa State prefers a ball control offense but the Baylor run defense has been great, ranked 13th in the nation in rushing yards allowed. Even in a double-overtime loss to BYU, the Bears allowed just 83 yards rushing, 2.5 yards per carry. Baylor is 66-45 UNDER the total as an underdog, plus 19-7 UNDER versus winning teams. Iowa State has been even better, third in the nation in rush yards allowed (41 per game) and seventh in points surrendered (8.5 ppg). They had a 10-7 win over rival Iowa of the Big 10 making coach Matt Campbell 45-31 UNDER the total, including 26-13 UNDER in September games. Iowa State is also 24-13 UNDER versus winning teams and this shapes up as a fierce defensive duel. Take Baylor/Iowa State UNDER the total.