Baylor at Iowa State

The Baylor offense took a hit when QB Robert Griffin went down with an injury three weeks ago. But, replacement Nick Florence has put up similar numbers and has rushed for more yards per carry. The Bears come in at 3-2 with the only losses to Oklahoma and Connecticut. And, they own a nice road win Wake Forest. Iowa State has now dropped 10 straight games inside of the Big-12 and they sport a horrid 3-23 record in-conference over the last four years with two of the wins coming narrowly by 3 and 5 points. This is a bad teams that is in uncharted territory here - posted as a favorite, especially against a Baylor team that has a winning record and losses coming to teams far superior to the Cyclones. The Bears are improving. They once resided with the Cyclones in the basement of the Big-12, but they are now 6-0 ATS in their last six games in conference play and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall. The Cyclones have covered just three of their last ten games as a favorite, and the Bears have covered four of the last five meetings with Iowa State. Iowa State has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 62% of their passes and Baylor is a perfect 6-0 ATS the past two seasons vs. teams that allow 58% or higher. Art Briles-coached teams are 16-5 ATS when coming off a loss to a conference rival. The wrong team is favored in this game and I look for Baylor to win.