Baylor at Cincinnati

Baylor plays its first road game since a 36-35 win at Central Florida as a +8 dog. QB Blake Shapen (4 TDs) hasn't thrown an interception and faces a Cincinnati defense that is allowing 29 points per game while on a 0-4 SU/ATS run. The Bearcats are also on 5-13 ATS run, including 1-9 ATS in Big 12 play, after losing last week at home to Iowa State, 30-10, as a 4-point favorite. College football home teams like Cincinnati that average 190 to 230 yards rushing are 12-28 ATS in conference action against teams that rush for 100 or fewer yards per contest. Play Baylor.