This pick was released to clients on January 02, 2017 at 11:12AM ET.
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Auburn vs. Oklahoma

January 2, 2017
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

SUGAR BOWL - Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops is 8-9 in Bowl games, and 6-11 ATS, including 3-8 ATS as a favorite. The Sooners have a potent offense led by Baker Mayfield, who threw for 3,669 yards and 38 touchdowns with eight interceptions to go with Dede Westbrook, who caught 74 passes for 1,465 yards and 16 touchdowns. Also, Joe Mixon (1,183) and Samaje Perine (974) combined for 2,157 yards with Mixon averaging 7.0 yards per carry. The Sooners are dealing with the distraction of Mixon's legal troubles, and Westbrook is probable with concussion-like symptoms. Auburn quarterback Sean White missed the last two games with a shoulder injury, but is probable for this one. White completed 65.2 percent of his passes for 1,644 yards and nine touchdowns with three interceptions this season. Kamryn Pettway has 1,123 rushing yards on 185 carries and seven touchdowns, and Kerryon Johnson has gained 862 yards on 5.0 yards per carry and scored 11 touchdowns. Auburn is 9-3 ATS compared to 6-6 ATS for the Sooners, and the Tigers have covered their last five non-conference games. Oklahoma is 0-5 ATS its last five non-conference contests and 0-6 ATS their last six games at neutral sites. Auburn has allowed 91.4 fewer yards per game than the Sooners defense, and the Tigers have allowed 15.6 points per game compared to 29.7 for Oklahoma.  Auburn has covered four straight after a loss and is 4-1 ATS its last five Bowl games. Play Auburn.

1.5 units on Auburn +3 (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Auburn Tigers
7
6
0
6
19
Oklahoma Sooners img
0
14
14
7
35
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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