Auburn at Arkansas

Talented Auburn has five wins and is close to being unbeaten, losing 14-6 at defending champion Clemson and 27-23 at LSU. Auburn's defense was supposed to be great and is at ninth in the nation in points allowed (15 points per game), and #13 in total yards surrendered. The offense (34 ppg) has perfect balance averaging 216 yards passing, 222.4 yards rushing. Auburn has covered five straight times against losing teams and struggling Arkansas has a losing record, on a 1-6-1 spread run. Arkansas is soft on defense, #105 in points allowed (33 ppg). And they are getting worse, surrendering 41, 48, 24 and 50 the last four games. Arkansas is 0-3 in SEC play, off a 41-9 loss to #1 Alabama. The Razorbacks rushed for 27 yards on 29 carries against 'Bama behind a revamped offensive line that also allowed five sacks. Arkansas quarterbacks have been sacked 18 times. The Razorbacks have scored a total of 31 points the last two games and will be without senior QB Austin Allen for the second consecutive game. They've turned to freshman QB Cole Kelley and the team is 1-9 ATS after allowing 450+ total yards in their previous game. The Arkansas defense has struggled against the run, allowing its four Power Five opponents to gain an average of 236.8 yards per game on the ground. And Auburn's defense has 19 sacks, led by 6.5 from junior outside linebacker Jeff Holland. In last year's meeting, Auburn rushed for 543 yards and rolled, 56-3. Road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points are 28-7 ATS after allowing eight or more passing yards per attempt the last game, with eight or more offensive starters including the QB returning. The favorite has covered four straight when they meet, so back the Tigers again. Lay the points and play Auburn.