Auburn at Arkansas

There were certainly questions about the Razorback defense after they gave up 52 to Georgia and 35 to Alabama in consecutive weeks. But, we saw Arkansas go on the road and hold the nation's leading offense at the time to 19 points last week. With revenge in mind here, I expect a good effort from the Arkansas defense in this game. Auburn has surprised this year, but they really have been beating up on cupcakes for the most part including Louisiana Tech, Mississippi State and Ball State. Their lone impressive win came last week vs. Tennessee. The Tigers may not be as good offensively as suggested by results as they benefitted from six West Virginia turnovers for a lot of help on their way to 41. Their only road game thus far produced just two TDs. Bobby Petrino coached teams are 16-6 ATS at home during the first month of the season. I like Arkansas to hang tight here and have a chance at the upset. I also like the UNDER in this game. These two teams have each displayed explosive offenses and with that comes a lofty total - as high a total as I can remember seeing in an SEC game. Games like this often take on a strategy different than suggested by the previous results as neither will likely want to get into a shootout, and will keep the pressure on the defense to make a stop. They will likely use more of a ball-control type offense to manage the game. The Tigers come into this one sporting a 12-5 mark to the UNDER off an ATS win. These teams have met every year since the ‘91-‘92 season and the most points ever scored in their game has been 58. The last two games combined would not have gone over this total. Take the Razorbacks and the UNDER.