Army at Iowa State

Army has been a program mired in futility. Although somewhat improved, they are still a team that has won fewer than five games in each of the last 12 seasons where they have compiled a straight-up mark of 33-118. This is a team that has gone 6-16 ATS against current BCS schools outside of Texas (lots of roster players usually from Texas, and schedule a game there annually). It is rare to find them as a road favorite or an underdog of 10 or less, but such is the case in this one. Over the past 13 years as a road favorite or a road dog of 10 or less, the Black Knights are bad, going just 4-15 ATS! Iowa State has moved the ball well in two of their games against comparable competition, and was stopped cold when they had to move up in class vs. Iowa. They will be able to move the ball against Army as even Ball State, returning nothing, had success vs. this team. Army might be the seductive play here as the talk is more of how much they have improved, but despite the hype, they are still just 1-2 ATS. And, there is a big gap between an annually struggling Independent and a BCS school, even one that hovers near the bottom of the Big-12. Army is 13-28 ATS over the past fifteen years as a road dog of 3.5 to 10 points. Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes have gone 9-1 ATS in their last ten home games vs. a team that can't pass the ball well (48% or less) and Army's completing just 40.5% of their passes. And, Iowa State is 22-109 ATS at home following a win. I'll go with Iowa State here.