Army at Duke

Army suffered a tough 23-20 loss their last time out vs. a bad Buffalo team. They dominated the stats, but didn't get the job done. The Black Knights are still 3-1 and certainly look like a much better team than what we have seen out of West Point in well over a decade. They have out-gained every opponent they have faced by 180 yards per game, and usually limit the number of plays run in a game because they run the triple option, and the clock is moving with almost every play. They have averaged 22 plays per game on the season. Duke has been outgained in three of their four games, and have a big huge win over Notre Dame, so many will question the line here. Army teams that are better than .500 and at least five weeks into the season, are 8-3 ATS when facing a power conference team. Duke also beat Army 44-3 at West Point last year, so many will question if things have changed that much. QB Daniel Jones has been quite erratic for Duke with six TDs to eight INTs on the season, and leading RB Jela Duncan, the only Duke runner at four yards per carry or better, is questionable. Army fits a situation that is 27-4 ATS for this one as well. The better team is getting points, so make the play on Army on the moneyline.