Arkansas State vs. Kent State

The Arkansas Red Wolves have had the offense going, scoring 34 points or more in each of their last seven games, including 40+ in each of their last three. They come into this one having won seven straight, covering their last five. That may sound good enough to make a play on them here, but teams that enter their Bowl game off of at least three straight ATS wins, unless instilled as a dog of +3 or more, are a paltry 54-89 ATS in their Bowl game. Kent State came within an overtime loss to Northern Illinois of perhaps being in a BCS Bowl themselves. As a result, one would think that this could be a letdown spot for the Golden Flashes, but guess again. Teams that suffer their second loss of the season in their last game leading up to their Bowl game are 40-20 ATS in their Bowl game, including 30-11 ATS when facing an opponent off of a win. Make the play on Kent State here.