Arkansas State at South Alabama

The Red Wolves are red hot. They come in off four straight wins both straight-up and against the number. Similar to this game, those four wins were against weaker competition and Arkansas State lines continue to be off. South Alabama has dropped four of their last six SU and ATS. THey haven't managed more than 19 points in five of those six games. How can they keep it close against an Arkansas State team that is putting up over 40 points per game? The Wolves are 10-2 ATS vs. conference opponents, dating back to last season. Meanwhile the Jaguars are 6-15 ATS in conference games over the past two and a half seasons. Under head coach Blake Anderson, Arkansas State is 21-10 ATS as a favorite and 19-8 ATS when coming off a win. Lay the points in this one.