Arkansas State has had some strong teams in recent years, but this one is not on that level. They have made the best of their home field where they own a 37-10 straight-up mark in their last 47. Here is the problem: Arkansas State has been the worst road team in college football as they are a woeful 26-136-5 straight-up going back to 1989. So far this season, they have taken the donut away from home at 0-3, averaging just 11.7 points per game on offense. South Alabama has done well at home in beating Kent State, and a good Western Kentucky team, a game where they were a +7 point home dog. I considered the point spread here, but the Arkansas State's numbers are so bad on the road straight-up that they always seem to find a way to lose. Take the home team here on the moneyline.
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