Arkansas State at Nebraska

You really have to question this Kansas State team. They scheduled a non-FBS team at home (UMass) and had to hold on to squeak out a 21-17 win. Now they must take to the road where they are 4-17 SU in their last 21 games and lay a touchdown. Last year, Kansas State had the Cajuns at home and were outgained and torched for over 500 yards as a three TD+ favorite. Despite laying 21, they won that game by just 8 points and it was withing 5 in the fourth quarter. The Cajuns return 17 starters and get this one at home where they piled up 42 points and over 500 yards last week. Yes, the competition wasn't as great, but neither was it for Kansas State. The Wildcats have been more like “Mildcats” as a road chalk as they are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine, and the Ragin’ Cajuns have more than held their own when facing a Big-12 school as they are 8-3 ATS against the BCS power conference. I like the dog here.