Arkansas State at Massachusetts

Arkansas State heads out on the road after playing three straight home games. It's a long road trip north and in their only other road game, the Red Wolves got crushed at Oklahoma, 73-0. Senior QB J.T. Shrout is out with an ankle injury so freshman QB Jaylen Raynor has been forced to step in. The defense is 124th in the country in yards allowed (493.3 per game) and dead last in points surrendered (47 per game). College football teams like Arkansas State which allowed 6.25+ yards per play in the last game are 37-73 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 against a team that outgained their previous opponent by 175+ total yards. Massachusetts is home with very good offensive balance behind senior QB Carlos Davis (6 TDs, 3 INTs) and junior RB Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams (463 yards, 4.8 ypc). They won at New Mexico State, 41-30, as a +7 dog and are off a pair of close losses at Eastern Michigan (19-17 as a +7.5 dog) and New Mexico (34-31 in OT). And teams like UMass off a close home loss by three points or fewer are 79-42 ATS in September games. Play Massachusetts.