Arkansas State at Bowling Green

Arkansas State won four of its last six games to earn a bowl bid and Bowling Green had its five-game win streak snapped in a 28-12 loss to Miami Ohio in the regular-season finale. The Falcons are just 3-6 ATS their past nine games and 1-4 ATS their past five December games. At last count, the Falcons have 12 players entering the transfer portal although QB Connor Bazelak will play and so will tight end Harold Fannin Jr., who has 100 receptions for 1,342 yards. Arkansas State played a tough early schedule while losing to Michigan and Iowa State and only one of its losses was to a team that didn't make a bowl game. The Red Wolves will have QB Jaylen Raynor, who threw for 2,562 yards and 14 TDs this season. He and the Red Wolves will be motivated after narrowly losing last year's bowl game 21-19 to Northern Illinois. Take Arkansas State.