img CFB

Arkansas at Texas A&M

September 29, 2012
img12:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It was an offseason full of distractions for Arkansas and the team is paying the price. They opened the season ranked No. 10 in the country and beat Jacksonville State in their opener but looked a bit off as they gave up 24 points and didn't come anywhere close to covering the 40 point spread. They were given a pass by most. That changed when they lost at home to UL Monroe. The Razorbacks then played Alabama at home which at the beginning of the season looked like a spot in which Alabama would be severely tested. That was far from the case as Alabama wrecked them on both sides of the ball in a 52-0 romp. Arkansas was without Tyler Wilson, but he isn't worth 52 points, as we saw last week when Arkansas lost outright to Rutgers 26-35. We cashed in on that play last week as we had Rutgers (even recommending a strong look at taking Rutgers on the moneyline). The 35 points scored by the Knights was by a limited offense. Now the Razorbacks must take to the road vs. Texas A&M. The Aggies got their SEC baptism against the Gators in week one, losing a heartbreaker 20-17. Florida has since proven to be better than many expected (we've been on them nearly every week), and the Aggies have proven that they are better than expected as well. Johny Manziel has been perfect with seven TD passes and no interceptions on the season. Meanwhile the Aggies’ top two backs are both well over 6 yards per carry. The Hogs have not been road worthy at 0-6 ATS in their last six. John L. Smith is just 2-10 ATS in his coaching career in games with a total posted at 63 or higher. Kevin Sumlin is 15-3 ATS as a home favorite in his coaching career. The Aggies are a lot better than UL Monroe and Rutgers, and this one is on the road. Lay the points with Texas A&M.

2 units on Texas A&M -14.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Arkansas Razorbacks
10
0
0
0
10
Texas A&M Aggies img
7
20
17
14
58
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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