Arkansas at Mississippi State

The Bulldogs have had a good season at 7-3. They won down in the swamp, but that came against a Florida team that isn't what they have been the past several years. The Bulldogs dropped their three big games vs. LSU, Alabama and Auburn, and Arkansas is right there with those teams. Ryan Mallett is an NFL caliber QB, and has thrown for 24 TDs this season already. He is just shy of 3,000 yards on the season already. This is a Mississippi State team that struggles against good teams on offense, with a total of just 41 points scored vs. the four quality teams mentioned above. The Razorbacks are 13-3 ATS following a win of 20+, and 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. The Bulldogs are chasing their tail as a dog at just 2-5 ATS in their last seven. They are also just 23-40 ATS in their last 63 after scoring 14 or fewer points last game. The last two seasons, the Razerbacks are 11-3 ATS after a win. Arkansas here.