Arkansas at LSU

The Razorbacks have a big-time offense. They have averaged 48.5 ppg in their last four games. But those points came against the likes of E. Michigan, Troy and Mississippi State. The problem is it hasn't translated very well against a top defense, and the LSU Tigers can "D" up with the best of them. The Razorbacks offense has played against three solid defenses this season in Mississippi, Alabama and Florida, and scored a grand total of 44 points (just 14.7 ppg). That's a far cry from the lofty numbers they have served on the "ole" defenses on their schedule. Tigers may play some defense, but the offense isn't nearly what it has been in the past. Their offense has averaged just 20.7 ppg in SEC play, and have yet to have a total posted at 50 or higher for any of their games prior to this game. The Razorbacks are not as potent on the road, and have played four straight UNDER, while the Bayou Cats have failed to reach the total in their last seven at home. LSU is 33-16 UNDER in their last 49 games with a total posted between 50 and 56. I like this one to go UNDER the total.