Arkansas at Alabama

Arkansas has actually covered two of the last three meetings and the Razorbacks are getting big points again this week. Alabama comes off a tougher than expected game against Texas A&M and didn't cover as a 25-point favorite. Jalen Hurts was 13-of-22 for 123 yards and a touchdown and Damien Harris rushed for 124 yards in a 27-19 win for the Crimson Tide, which is just 1-4 ATS its last five games after allowing fewer than 20 points in its previous game. Also, Alabama is 2-5 ATS over its last seven home games as it struggles to cover the big point spreads. The Razorbacks are off to a disappointing start, but they have scored at least 40 points three times. Cole Kelley and Austin Allen split time against South Carolina and were a combined 20-of-37 for 224 yards and two touchdowns. Alabama is 1-9 ATS as a home favorite of fewer than 34 points against an opponent with a winning percentage of .400 or less dating to the last several seasons. The Razorbacks can score enough to come in under the big number in this one.  Take Arkansas.