Arizona at Washington

The last time the Washington Huskies started a season at 4-0 was over a decade ago. This year's squad looks like a complete team that is also well tested in the early going. They beat Boise State 38-6, and have also beaten Illinois by 10. And, don't discount that narrow margin, as the Illini are a vastly improved team over last season. Washington is finding balance on offense, as they can move the chains effectively in the air or on the ground. Arizona can't throw the ball, but have shown an effective running game, and a solid defense as they have started 3-0 as well. The big difference is the Wildcats have played three cupcakes in UNLV, Northern Arizona, and UT San Antonio. It is hard to take the numbers seriously as this is a major step-up in competition. I think that will cost them here as the speed of this game on both sides is going to be different than anything remotely close to what they have seen this season. The Huskies are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games. And, Rich Rod led teams are an awful 2-14 ATS vs. great defensive teams (teams like Washington that allow 14 or fewer points per game). Rodriguez is also 5-16 ATS when facing great offenses (teams averaging 425+ yards per game). This is a bad matchup for Rich Rod and the Wildcats. Lay the points with Washington.