This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 3:17PM ET.
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Arizona at Oregon State

October 29, 2005
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

OSU is coming off a beating at the hands of UCLA but they are not a bad team. The week prior, they beat Cal outright as a two-touchdown underdog and the week before that, they also won as a dog vs. Washington State. Arizona on the other hand is bad. Their only win in 7 games was against Northern Arizona for pete's sake. They are giving up 500 yards to opponents per game on the road and losing by an average score of 32-15. Oregon State is scoring 35 points per game at home and should score at will in this one. Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a loss against a conference rival now facing an opponent off 2 straight losses against conference rivals are 28-9 ATS (76%0 over the last 5 seasons. Winning teams off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival are 61-25 (71%) ATS when playing a losing team. Oregon State's defense is a concern but they should score enough here to cover this number and we'll back them for one star.

1 unit on Oregon State -9 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
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