img CFB

Arizona at Oregon

September 22, 2012
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This might look like a big number for a conference game, but the Ducks score big and can cover it. It is a lot different looking at a three touchdown spread when you look at it combined with an expected total of close to 80, as opposed to a total around 50. This spread represents 27% of the total set on the game - the equivalent of a 13 point spread in a game with a total of 50. Some of the names have changed on this Ducks’ squad, but the fastest show in the land is still churning out plays and points faster than ever. That rate so far is 54 points per game and close to 600 yards. It is only going to get better. Arizona has put up some lofty numbers as well, but they can't afford to get into a shootout here. If they play the Ducks’ game, they will get blown out. That is the likely scenario here. Last year the Ducks took to the road and prevailed 56-31 in a shootout, and now they get this one at home where the electricity is flowing, and the pace even faster. The Ducks’ defense stepped up last week, and they are 27-13 ATS after allowing 170 or less yards in the air in their previous game. RichRod has struggled throughout his career vs. good passing teams, going just 15-29 ATS lifetime vs. teams that complete 58%+ of their passes. All Ducks here, so play on Oregon.

3 units on Oregon -21.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Arizona Wildcats
0
0
0
0
0
Oregon Ducks img
7
6
15
21
49
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free CFB picks and predictions.

Join 409,391 Subscribers!