Arizona at Oklahoma State

The Oklahoma State Cowboys came within 6 points of playing in the Fiesta Bowl, and now have to wonder what could have been, instead of settling for a disappointing bid to the Alamo Bowl against Arizona who finished 7-5. Bowl games quite frequently come down to emotion, and which team has it and which team doesn't. The Wildcats are the team that will be inspired here to face a 10-2 team. Underdogs with seven wins playing in a Bowl game, facing a team with more than seven wins have been a profitable 49-36 ATS. The last three teams with 10 wins to face a team with seven wins as a favorite have failed to cover all three and lost two of them outright. The Wildcats come in off four straight losses. Teams off of three losses to end the season are 20-11 ATS and 17-13 straight-up in their Bowl game. They are also 13-5 as a dog. This Oklahoma State team can score as they went for over 40 vs. Nebraska and Oklahoma, but the defense often gives it all back. Despite going over 40 points they lost both games. They have allowed an average of 34.8 points per game against the seven Bowl teams they faced this year. Arizona has played 5-1 to the OVER in their last six, and Oklahoma State has played to an 8-3 mark to the OVER in their last 11 as a favorite. I'll go with Arizona and the OVER.