Arizona at California

This is a high Pac-12 total but Cal is overvalued with totals on a 5-1 run UNDER, including five straight UNDERs at home. Arizona is in town with a terrific ground game capable of chewing up yards and keeping the clock moving at fourth in the nation in rushing with 342.3 yards per contest. They've turned the offense over to sophomore QB Khalil Tate (two TDs, one pick), who leads the team in rushing. California is off a dominant defensive performance in a 37-3 victory over previously unbeaten Washington State. Washington State QB Luke Falk threw all five of his interceptions against four or fewer pass rushers in Cal's upset. It was a brilliant defensive game plan from first-year Cal coach Justin Wilcox and defensive coordinator Tim DeRuyter. With the Bears dropping several players into coverage, Falk seldom had options to throw. Cal is 7-3 UNDER the total after a victory of 20+ points, as well as 20-6-1 UNDER in October. Back the UNDER in this one.