Arizona State vs. Boise State

It is almost unfair to think that this Boise State team went from challenging for a BCS Bowl to a pre-Christmas Bowl. What caused the huge drop? One loss by a single point to a quality 10-2 team. The Broncos rank No. 6 in the nation, but were slighted again despite a 14-point win over Georgia on a neutral field, while Georgia plays after New Year's Day with their three losses. This one takes on the appearance of the last time the Broncos were slighted and played against East Carolina back in ‘07-‘08 in a disappointment Bowl. In that game the Broncos went down 41-38 to the Pirates in a shootout. Arizona State comes limping into this one on the heels of four straight losses, and barely made it at 6-6 on the season. It is a chance for redemption and a winning season against a quality program that has become a Top 10 fixture. Remember that this team Sun Devils beat Missouri and USC, and gave Oregon a run for their money as well. So, they can certainly play on this level. Their offense has not been a shortcoming with the Sun Devils producing 27 or more points in all but one game this season. They will certainly get their share here vs. what should be a less than focused Broncos defense. Couple that with a pair of TDs in the line and this one is certainly chock full of value. Even with losing their last four, Arizona State did not lose any by more than 9 points and no one beat them by more than 14 points all year. Arizona State is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 when taking more than +10.5 points, and Boise State is 0-6 ATS in their last six. The Sun Devils have played to the OVER in 16 of their last 21. This one goes to Arizona State and the OVER.