Arizona State at UCLA

UCLA was exposed in a major way last weekend and I will not be surprised if that trend continues on Saturday. They are simply not physical on defense, and will give up a ton of points to the Sun Devils in this game. After the first month of the season, favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more are 10-34 ATS since 1992. UCLA will score their points here but their confidence is fragile. They easily could have and should have lost to lesser teams in the Pac 10. ASU will come out attacking as this win would ease their pain a bit from earlier in the season. ASU is 8-1 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. ASU and the points in a shootout for two stars.