Appalachian State vs. Toledo

DOLLAR GENERAL BOWL - A pair of conference champs meet in a rematch of a Bowl from one year ago. The Toledo Rockets and the Appalachian State Mountaineers played in the Camellia Bowl in Alabama last year and Appalachian State collected a 31-28 victory. Appalachian State is back again behind senior QB Taylor Lamb, leading an offense that averages 33.4 points, 223.3 yards passing and 215 rushing. With Lamb at quarterback, the Mountaineers have won 35 of their last 44 games -- the best record of any Group of Five team. In last season's Bowl game he ran for 126 yards and one touchdown against Toledo. They can play defense, too, allowing 30 total points the last three games behind senior linebacker Eric Boggs (97 tackles), senior defensive end Antonious Sims (9.5 sacks) and sophomore defensive back Clifton Duck (10 career interceptions). Appalachian State is 10-1 UNDER the total after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Toledo is #56 in the nation defensively in points allowed and #68 against the run allowing 166.4 yards rushing per contest. The Rockets are on a 1-4 ATS run in non-conference games, plus 23-9-1 UNDER against winning teams. The last time they were favored by less than double-digits they lost to Ohio, 38-10. When these teams met last season in the bowl Appalachian State had the edge in rushing 297-127 and was 8-of-19 on third down, while Toledo was just 4-of-12. I like Appalachian State to get the outright upset win, and stay within the points at least. Play App State on the moneyline, ATS and also on the UNDER.