This pick was released to clients on October 12, 2016 at 4:36PM ET.
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Appalachian State at UL Lafayette

October 12, 2016
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We have gotten to the point of the season where the Sun Belt Conference gets some air time with weekday games. The Mountaineers have made a big splash since joining the FBS, posting a 7-5 record their very first year back in 2014, and went 11-2 last season. They are a ball-control triple-option team, that has averaged 47 rushing attempts per contest on the season. The issue this season has been that the running game is not generating consistent yards at just 4.5 per tote. The second problem is the best part of the Lafayette defense has been defending the run, allowing just 2.8 yards per carry. Opponents have tried to run on this team, and even Boise State had problems. The Lafayette offense is not that good despite playing some soft competition in their last four games. The Sun Belt Conference has a long history of low-scoring games during the week as their Tuesday through Thursday ledger on totals shows the UNDER at 63-41 or 60.6%! Make the play on the UNDER.

1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 49 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
App State Mountaineers img
10
14
0
0
24
UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
0
0
0
0
0
consensus consensus
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